cowboys vs. Buccaneers odds, line: Sunday Night Football picks, predictions by NFL model on 138-97 roll

The 2022 Week 1 NFL schedule features a high-profile NFC showdown in Sunday Night Football’s season opener. The Dallas Cowboys will host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in a rematch of the 2021 NFL Kickoff Game. Dallas finished 12-5 last season before falling to the San Francisco 49ers in the Wild Card round. Tampa Bay set a 13-4 record before losing to eventual Super Bowl champion Los Angeles Rams in the Divisional Round.

Kick-off is at 8:20 p.m. ET in Dallas. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Buccaneers as 2.5-point road favorites, while the over/under, or total points Vegas says will be scored, is 50.5 in the final Buccaneers vs. Cowboys Opportunities. Before you see Cowboys vs. Buccaneers, be sure to check out the NFL predictions and SNF betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, has risen more than $7,500 since its inception for $100 players on the top-rated NFL picks. The model enters the 2022 NFL season with an incredible run of 138-97 on the top-rated NFL picks dating back to the 2017 season. Amazingly, it hasn’t missed a top pick since Week 15 of last season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on NFL straight picks, beating more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times in that span. Anyone who has followed it is far away.

Now the model has set its sights on Buccaneers vs. Cowboys and has recorded its picks and Sunday Night Football predictions. You can now go to SportsLine to see the model choices. Now, here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Buccaneers vs. Cowboys:

  • cowboys vs. Buccaneers spread: Buccaneers -2.5
  • cowboys vs. Buccaneers top/bottom: 50.5 points
  • cowboys vs. Buccaneers Money Line: Buccaneers -145, Cowboys +122
  • TB: Buccaneers were 10-9 against the spread last season
  • DAL: Cowboys were 13-5 against the spread last season
  • Buccaneers vs. Cowboys picks: view the picks here

Featured game | Dallas Cowboys vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Why can the Buccaneers cover?

Tampa Bay’s attack is undoubtedly elite, led by Tom Brady. The seven-time Super Bowl champion and three-time NFL MVP was also runner-up for the 2021 NFL MVP award. The Buccaneers scored the second most points in the NFL last season, taking the top two points in the league in first downs and total yards. Brady led the NFL individually in passing yards (5316), completions (485) and passing touchdowns (43) during the 2021 regular season, putting in 67.5 percent of his attempts and generating just 12 interceptions.

Brady is also very adept at avoiding negative plays, including the NFL’s best layoff rate (2.97 percent) last season. He is 15-4 in Week 1 start over the course of his storied career and is flanked by an elite wide receiver in Mike Evans. A four-time Pro Bowl roster, Evans is the first player in NFL history to produce at least 1,000 receiving yards in his first eight seasons in the league. Evans led the league with 14 receiving touchdowns last season.

Why the Cowboys can cover

Dallas has two-way strengths dating back to the 2021 season. The Cowboys led the NFL in fouls scoring last season, averaging 31.2 points per game. Dallas was even better at home, generating 36.4 points per game at AT&T Stadium. Dak Prescott is a top-level quarterback who produced a franchise-record 37 touchdown passes last season, finishing in the top quarter of the NFL in passing yards, passing touchdowns, passer rating, and percentage completion. The Cowboys also have a strong duo of running backs in Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard, one of only three tandems in the NFL to reach at least 1,000 yards from every player’s scrimmage by 2021.

In defense, in 2021, the Cowboys were chaos-driven, leading the NFL in takeaways. Dallas also finished in the league’s top three last season in the third allowable down rate, press speed and passer rating, ranking No. 7 in the league in points allowed. That combination led to the Cowboys taking a record of 13-4 against the spread, the best figure in the NFL.

How Buccaneers vs. Cowboys to make choices

The SportsLine model leans on the point total, where the model asks for 53 points. The model also says that one side of the spread hits in more than 50% of the simulations. You can watch the Cowboys vs. Buccaneers choices of the model only seen on SportsLine.

So who will win Buccaneers vs. Cowboys on Sunday Night Football? And which side of the spread affects more than 50% of the simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Buccaneers vs. Cowboys spread you have to jump on Sunday, all of the model that is 138-97 on NFL picks, and find out.